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Discussion in 'Tottenham Hotspur' started by alexwooty, 6 Mar 2017.
Utd for the CL-JM did same with Porto, EL first year-CL second.
Us for a cup this year.
Top 5 for us this season. In my opinion we lack something but are hard to beat. United for league. Mourinho is astonishing.
Madrid or PSG for CL.
God knows League cup.
FA Cup - top 4 team.
Think we will get to a semi-final at least.
PSG up to 15.6%, Bayern down to 12.2%
Well based on these percentages, 5.1% x 2.6% = 0.13% chance. Equivalent to about 750/1, although I doubt you'd find any bookie that would give you those odds, all the usual suspects don't seem to offer it is as a double!
Time for an update. Previous chances calculated on 27th Sept are given in brackets for comparison.
Premier League Winners: Man City 92.2% (50.6%), Man Utd 4.9% (24.1%), Chelsea 1.1% (14.5%), Tottenham 0.4% (5.1%), Liverpool 1.0% (3.1%), Woolwich 0.5% (2.4%)
Premier League Top 4: Man City > 99.5% (95.7%), Man Utd 85.5% (94.3%), Chelsea 73.0% (76.0%), Tottenham 38.8% (56.2%), Liverpool 61.2% (46.5%), Woolwich 34.9% (35.5%)
Premier League Top Scorer: Kane 37.3% (24.1%), Lukaku 6.6% (23.0%), Aguero 13.7% (17.6%), Morata 6.5% (11.6%), Jesus 4.6% (7.0%), Lacazette 3.0% (5.4%), Salah 17.2% (< 5%)
Champions League Winners: Real Madrid 11.0% (17.7%), PSG 14.5% (13.3%), Bayern Munich 15.2% (13.3%), Barcelona 11.8% (12.7%), Man City 23.0% (9.5%), Man Utd 5.6% (6.2%), Juventus 4.1% (5.2%), Chelsea 2.9% (4.9%), Tottenham 3.4% (2.6%), Liverpool 5.6% (2.3%), Woolwich 0.0% (0.0%)
FA Cup Winners: Man City 18.0% (14.5%), Chelsea 11.7% (13.4%), Man Utd 12.8% (12.9%), Tottenham 10.6% (9.9%), Liverpool 8.9% (9.3%), Woolwich 8.9% (9.3%)
alexwooty love this thread sterling work
@ Woolwich's CL %
Update time. Couldn't be arsed with work today so decided to go all graphical.
Woolwich at 0% on the CL graph
More magnificent work alexwooty
CL %s are a joke given what we did to Italian opposition last time we reached the last 16
Man City 37.7% to win the CL, Real Madrid. 12.5%, Spurs 3.57%.
So having bossed our Group, which included the reigning Champions and was regarded as the toughest group in the competition, Spurs are, at 28/1, er, unlikely to make it of their group, and then only as runner-up.
That's just how the 'market' rates our chances though. Juve got to the final last year and are only at 4.7% - it just reflects the fact that there are basically only 5 clubs that actually stand a realistic chance of winning the thing. Yeah we might get past Juve, but we'd still have to beat another couple of 'big boys' over 2 legs to get to the final. If you think our price is too short, then get on Betfair and lay us!
Quick update on top 4 chances... we've now overtaken Chelsea in the 'race', up to a 59% chance
Another update is in order... up to 70.2% chance of top 4.
Had £20 for Tottenham to win the CL in Jan @25-1on with betfair checked the price this morning we are 14s
PSG are an insanely tight 8_1. So the bookies still think psg who lost 3_1,away to real Madrid (who we drew with at the Bernabau) have more of a chance than us.
I thought RM were very fortunate last night and PSG will despatch them in the 2nd leg as we do the same to Juve!
I wasn't that impressed by PSG.
They always look like a team that is very used to walking all over their opposition, their league is too easy for them.
An easy league and a team motivated by money means they’ll always struggle in the European cup in my opinion. They have 3 players fucking arguing over every free kick and penalty they get.
Yes and they buckled in last 10 mins but I wasn’t impressed by RM either!
FA Cup update after Wigan's win...