Spurs Odds and Percentages Thread

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Resurrecting this thread for this season. Obviously it's not that interesting this early on, but later on in the season it'll be interesting to look back on to see how things change. Read the first post in the thread if you want to see where this all comes from.

Premier League Winners: Man City 50.6%, Man Utd 24.1%, Chelsea 14.5%, Tottenham 5.1%, Liverpool 3.1%, Woolwich 2.4%
Premier League Top 4: Man City 95.7%, Man Utd 94.3%, Chelsea 76.0%, Tottenham 56.2%, Liverpool 46.5%, Woolwich 35.5%
Premier League Top Scorer: Kane 24.1%, Lukaku 23.0%, Aguero 17.6%, Morata 11.6%, Jesus 7.0%, Lacazette 5.4%
Champions League Winners: Real Madrid 17.7%, PSG and Bayern Munich both 13.3%, Barcelona 12.7%, Man City 9.5%, Man Utd 6.2%, Juventus 5.2%, Atletico Madrid 5.1%, Chelsea 4.9%, Napoli 2.7%, Tottenham 2.6%, Liverpool 2.3%, Woolwich 0.0%
FA Cup Winners: Man City 14.5%, Chelsea 13.4%, Man Utd 12.9%, Tottenham 9.9%, Liverpool and Woolwich both 9.3%, Everton 4.4%
League Cup Winners: Man City 20.6%, Man Utd 17.2%, Chelsea 14.4%, Woolwich 10.9%, Tottenham 10.6%, Leicester 5.6%

I'd like to be able to give chances for things like qualifying from our Champions League group or reaching the Champions League quarter-finals too, but the markets for those aren't active enough yet.
Utd for the CL-JM did same with Porto, EL first year-CL second.
Us for a cup this year.
 

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Top 5 for us this season. In my opinion we lack something but are hard to beat. United for league. Mourinho is astonishing.

Madrid or PSG for CL.

God knows League cup.

FA Cup - top 4 team.

Think we will get to a semi-final at least.
 
Bayern price must of drifted after tonight
PSG up to 15.6%, Bayern down to 12.2%
alexwooty alexwooty what's the price on a Spurs league cl double.

It's probably academic as I'd have self combusted in the excitement and wouldn't be able to collect my money.

Do winning betting slips still stand and pass to your estate in the event of death
Well based on these percentages, 5.1% x 2.6% = 0.13% chance. Equivalent to about 750/1, although I doubt you'd find any bookie that would give you those odds, all the usual suspects don't seem to offer it is as a double!
 
Time for an update. Previous chances calculated on 27th Sept are given in brackets for comparison.

Premier League Winners: Man City 92.2% (50.6%), Man Utd 4.9% (24.1%), Chelsea 1.1% (14.5%), Tottenham 0.4% (5.1%), Liverpool 1.0% (3.1%), Woolwich 0.5% (2.4%)

Premier League Top 4: Man City > 99.5% (95.7%), Man Utd 85.5% (94.3%), Chelsea 73.0% (76.0%), Tottenham 38.8% (56.2%), Liverpool 61.2% (46.5%), Woolwich 34.9% (35.5%)

Premier League Top Scorer: Kane 37.3% (24.1%), Lukaku 6.6% (23.0%), Aguero 13.7% (17.6%), Morata 6.5% (11.6%), Jesus 4.6% (7.0%), Lacazette 3.0% (5.4%), Salah 17.2% (< 5%)

Champions League Winners: Real Madrid 11.0% (17.7%), PSG 14.5% (13.3%), Bayern Munich 15.2% (13.3%), Barcelona 11.8% (12.7%), Man City 23.0% (9.5%), Man Utd 5.6% (6.2%), Juventus 4.1% (5.2%), Chelsea 2.9% (4.9%), Tottenham 3.4% (2.6%), Liverpool 5.6% (2.3%), Woolwich 0.0% (0.0%)

FA Cup Winners: Man City 18.0% (14.5%), Chelsea 11.7% (13.4%), Man Utd 12.8% (12.9%), Tottenham 10.6% (9.9%), Liverpool 8.9% (9.3%), Woolwich 8.9% (9.3%)
 

Rocket

Supporter
Time for an update. Previous chances calculated on 27th Sept are given in brackets for comparison.

Premier League Winners: Man City 92.2% (50.6%), Man Utd 4.9% (24.1%), Chelsea 1.1% (14.5%), Tottenham 0.4% (5.1%), Liverpool 1.0% (3.1%), Woolwich 0.5% (2.4%)

Premier League Top 4: Man City > 99.5% (95.7%), Man Utd 85.5% (94.3%), Chelsea 73.0% (76.0%), Tottenham 38.8% (56.2%), Liverpool 61.2% (46.5%), Woolwich 34.9% (35.5%)

Premier League Top Scorer: Kane 37.3% (24.1%), Lukaku 6.6% (23.0%), Aguero 13.7% (17.6%), Morata 6.5% (11.6%), Jesus 4.6% (7.0%), Lacazette 3.0% (5.4%), Salah 17.2% (< 5%)

Champions League Winners: Real Madrid 11.0% (17.7%), PSG 14.5% (13.3%), Bayern Munich 15.2% (13.3%), Barcelona 11.8% (12.7%), Man City 23.0% (9.5%), Man Utd 5.6% (6.2%), Juventus 4.1% (5.2%), Chelsea 2.9% (4.9%), Tottenham 3.4% (2.6%), Liverpool 5.6% (2.3%), Woolwich 0.0% (0.0%)

FA Cup Winners: Man City 18.0% (14.5%), Chelsea 11.7% (13.4%), Man Utd 12.8% (12.9%), Tottenham 10.6% (9.9%), Liverpool 8.9% (9.3%), Woolwich 8.9% (9.3%)
:dembelelol: @ Woolwich's CL %
 

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Yossarian

Formerly WALOB
More magnificent work alexwooty alexwooty

CL %s are a joke given what we did to Italian opposition last time we reached the last 16

Man City 37.7% to win the CL, Real Madrid. 12.5%, Spurs 3.57%.

So having bossed our Group, which included the reigning Champions and was regarded as the toughest group in the competition, Spurs are, at 28/1, er, unlikely to make it of their group, and then only as runner-up.








:pochbye:
 
More magnificent work alexwooty alexwooty

CL %s are a joke given what we did to Italian opposition last time we reached the last 16

Man City 37.7% to win the CL, Real Madrid. 12.5%, Spurs 3.57%.

So having bossed our Group, which included the reigning Champions and was regarded as the toughest group in the competition, Spurs are, at 28/1, er, unlikely to make it of their group, and then only as runner-up.








:pochbye:
That's just how the 'market' rates our chances though. Juve got to the final last year and are only at 4.7% - it just reflects the fact that there are basically only 5 clubs that actually stand a realistic chance of winning the thing. Yeah we might get past Juve, but we'd still have to beat another couple of 'big boys' over 2 legs to get to the final. If you think our price is too short, then get on Betfair and lay us!
 

paddygspur

Supporter
PSG are an insanely tight 8_1. So the bookies still :pritchardeyes:think psg who lost 3_1,away to real Madrid (who we drew with at the Bernabau) have more of a chance than us.
 

Bazali

I never forget.....
PSG are an insanely tight 8_1. So the bookies still :pritchardeyes:think psg who lost 3_1,away to real Madrid (who we drew with at the Bernabau) have more of a chance than us.

I thought RM were very fortunate last night and PSG will despatch them in the 2nd leg as we do the same to Juve!
 
I wasn't that impressed by PSG.

They always look like a team that is very used to walking all over their opposition, their league is too easy for them.
An easy league and a team motivated by money means they’ll always struggle in the European cup in my opinion. They have 3 players fucking arguing over every free kick and penalty they get.
 

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