DAMMIT you're right!!
I guess what I'm getting at, and trying to avoid all notion of, is that STATISTICALLY (the one based on past events) we are likely to get very badly beaten on Sunday... going back before The Sheikhs got in, we used to do alright up there... but since then, bar that crazy aberration in 2010, the norm is we go there, get spanked, find some ballotelli reason why it was so unfair and come home again...
What I'm saying is that STATISTICS don't back up the weird optimism coursing through our veins at the moment... it's a head v heart situation... the stats from this season may look promising, but based on past events, and how things have often gone up there, doesn't look goid for us.
I don't wanna look at the stats from the past, 'cos I wanna go into Sunday with a SHRED of optimism. Not expect the Spursy and moan about how unfair it all is when it STATISTICALLY speaking, comes to pass... Thass all!
But yes, your explanation and reasoning behind how (and more importantly WHY) stats work is both insightful and useful. Thank you.