I am not sure I trust us against Liverpool today, there are a number of media outlets just rubbing their hands at an 'After the Lord Mayor's Show' narrative at whichever team performs worse today.
Liverpool are a strange team, they tend to perform to better against strong teams and weirdly against lower sides, they haven't won a league game since beating Leicester away 2-3 on the 23rd September, though some fortune could be attributed to the fact that Leicester had a penalty saved. They come in to this with 1 win in the last 6 premier league games.
The draw at Newcastle saw them under perform, they failed to take their chances and let in a stupidly sloppy goal. The Manchester United game they drew and were the better side but only fashioned 5 shots on target for their 63% possession but limited Manchester United to just 1 shot on target (arguably more a lack of ambition on their part). They let in silly goals, look susceptible on set pieces but of late they don't tend to concede a lot at the moment, they did let in 3 against Watford at the opener and 5 against Man City, though I am not sure if we can count Man City as a form team who trounces everyone at the moment?
The problem is our home form, on paper, we've only lost once at home this season but it's the fact we haven't been able to reproduce the same standard of performance from the Lane, the talk has been about the size of the pitch, for me it's the speed, our transitioning and our counter appears to be slower, the tempo and intensity are not the same. We've scored 3 premier league goals at home, one of which was an own goal, in 4 games. Whereas comparitively speaking away from home we've scored 12 goals in 4 league games. That's a concerning statistic.
We need to put in a decent performance because beyond the statistics we need to make Wembley ours and set our stall out in the league as we did against Dortmund. For me we need to see if Alli can come in and give us a performance, this game is almost perfect for him to show how his guile can make the difference today, I also like the idea that if it's tight towards the last 20 we can give Rose a run out and he might give us the winning edge.
Today is winnable but I can see Liverpool nicking the draw, winning convincingly today could do a whole lot for our collective belief.