Again, if they are good enough they will make it. You waste your time explaining the eminently explicable and the implicitly understood but fail to accept (or at least acknowledge) that some will fall through the cracks. You may miss a player here or there. But as BangkokSpud points out that is something that has to be accepted as you can't keep clogging up the works with nearly men in the hope that you might find or the fear that you might lose that one, the next Harry Kane.The chances of kids getting through the Academy system are poor - your number isn't unreasonable if you take kids at say age 10
Spurs (and other top academies) hand pick kids the kids so that by the age of say 15 when Academy Scholarships ae awarded the %'s should be closer to say 5% - 20% of kids getting to become a professional footballer in PL to League 2.
Whether kids get to be a top professional footballer or not depends not only on ability, perseverance and sheer hard work but also a big slice of luck - TAA at Liverpool was a decent but not world class midfielder at Liverpool (less highly rated than say KWP by England youth coaches) but due to injuries to Nathan Clyne, Joe Gomez etc was tried out at RB and flourished. Big slice of luck for TAA, whilst Clyne has never recovered
So opportunity is a big factor in making it - no loans and no first team playing time = no exposure = no chance that coaches will give you a chance. The Poch issue.
Do you understand now why Poch's methods failed to get Academy Youngsters through ti the first team or indeed elsewhere ?
Once kids have 'failed' to be recognised at one club, its a big effort to make it elsewhere. A decent example is Adam Smith stand out player with Daniel Sturridge in the same side, star at Spurs preseason at aged 17 but passed over when Spurs bought Walker (very fast but technically probably worse than Smith) and Naughton (older more experienced but less good than Smith). I watched Smith have Wright Philips for breakfast in a game of MK Doms (Smith on loam) v Man City (Wright Phillips then an England player) so he certainly was a decent level, However Smith left Spurs on bad terms as he felt he'd had his place taken by bought in players (true but that is football) and toom time to get over it - joined Championship Bournemouth and has been a decent level PL full back since. Was he ever a Spurs level full back - possibly, we will never know as his moment at Spurs never came and was never as good as he was.
Point is that developing players is not straightforward - put a player into the first team at the right time and the player may flourish. Leave it a year and the moment may be lost - and the player may wilt on the vine and not recover to the same standard.
There's a book to be written on the subject !
It does not matter that Adam Smith may have made it with us. What matters is that he was nowhere near as good as Walker (who you try to disparage by knocking his technical ability) when it was time to step up. And beyond that what matters is anyone and everyone would take Walker over Smith (except maybe BC because his pocket axe needs to be ground too). So we didn't miss out on Adam Smith, no reason for regret. And I like Adam Smith and think he's a good player. Ryan Fredericks left for similar but did we miss out on him? No, he wasn't good enough at the right time either. And Smith left before Poch, right? So why aren't you incessantly grinding your axe for whomever is responsible for that?
And I'm still waiting on that list of lost world beaters. Because if the list doesn't exist then we both understand the foundations of your argument fall. And though you are trying to put it on stilts with the 'money to bolster transfer funds etc etc' it won't hold in the weather of argumentation either.
And 5-20% is quite the range but you guys go on about it like 20% make it to the PL when the truth is we haven't recently lost an academy player to the PL have we? Adam Smith went down and played a few years before coming up so that doesn't count. I'm talking straight PL quality. Is there anyone? Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.
Where I see the problem is the investment is in infrastructure, the stuff that looks good on the balance sheet when it's time to sell up. We haven't invested 100M in actual youth players. We aren't shelling out for top quality raw materials and hence we get Champo at best coming out the backend. It's no surpise. We have been stocking the academy with players with a Champ - L2 trajectory and that's what we get out the backend. Can you name a top youth we've paid big youth/academy money for? Probably not because DL knows that most will not make it so it is not a sound investment for an investment company. He buys L2 and hopes to shine them to Champo as there is way less risk.
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