I wouldn't be surprised if our sale coincides with upcoming Premier League television deals. The current BT and Sky deal has brought unprecedented profits to the clubs and my guess is that when the deal expires in 2016, the next one will be even more substantial. That's just the domestic money as well.
In 2013, NBC sports got the American rights for $250m for three years. Many thought this was a massive overpay as Fox had previously just paid $23m for the previous rights. But then this happened, "
A record 31.5 million Americans tuned in to NBC Sports Group’s 2013-14 Premier League coverage – more than doubling the 13.3 million who watched last season on ESPN, ESPN2 and Fox Soccer, according to The Nielsen Company." EPL viewership sets several American records for 2013-2014 season - Awful Announcing
It's a pretty safe bet that with the help of a World Cup bump that American viewership should continue to increase and make the current success story even more impressive. ESPN has already talked about trying to get back in on the EPL, it should be a giant bidding war. I wouldn't be surprised to see the rights number triple up to somewhere around $750 million or even more.
But what does this have to do with the sale of Spurs? Well if you look at the NBA for comparison—which is a decently solid comparable considering basketball is now behind football as the world's second most popular sport and also it has a huge international fanbase— you'll see that in the past couple of years there have been some massive team sales. The most high profile of which being the Los Angeles Clippers for 2 billion dollars, who actually share some comparisons to Spurs in that they are in a very desirable and high profile city but aren't as successful or marketable as the team they share the city with. The Clippers were a strange situation due to the removal of the racist owner but even in a normal situation they would have went for fuckton of cash. Also, the Milwaukee Bucks which are basically the NBA's Hull City in that it is in a small not profitable city with not a particularly large fanbase broke the sale record before the Clippers being sold for $550 million.
Anyway, the reason for these huge sales is largely due to the fact that the next TV deal is already being discussed in hushed tones about how huge it could be. There was some absurd stuff going around how Google might buy the rights etc. This week it broke that the NBA is in talks to almost quintuple their rights from ESPN and Turner Sports, going from $450 million a year to over 2 billion per season.
My guess is that if the American market continues to grow this season television wise you might start to hear some absurd talk about the next EPL TV deal. If that happens, it becomes the perfect time for ENIC to sell. You want to sell before the TV deal is finalized because investors love the idea that they are getting in on something huge and how it theoretically could be a massive number. Once the TV money numbers come out—even if they are ridiculous— it tempers the excitement because it puts on a known quantity on it.
If ENIC can get everything cleared up with the stadium project, we have a solid year, and the potential for a massive increase in the TV deal is still looming you could see a lot of groups interested in the potential massive profits of the EPL lining up. Also worth noting, there's almost a zero percent chance of Abramovich, Mansour, the Glazers, or Henry selling and if Woolwich were to sell it's hard to see it going anywhere besides their current minority owner Usamov. We would be the best team on the market, by far. Even if Kenwright were to try to sell Everton they aren't in our league infrastructure wise plus we have the advantage of being in the city where rich people want to live and hang out.
The most attractive club on the market (read: bidding war)+the potential for the Premier League to become an even more dominant financial powerhouse in 2016; Tottenham could end up selling for a crooked number. £1 billion seems high, but if we get our ducks in a row I wouldn't be surprised if ENIC got close to that.