So after today, should we get 4 wins, 1 draw & a loss in our last 6 games it would mean 77 points for our lot.
For Chelsea to top that, based on the assumption that they win their home games vs West Ham, Burnley & Watford would need to achieve 5 points in their games vs Liverpool away, Man U away & Leicester away to take them to 77 points. They are currently 5 behind us on GD so would need to make that up as well.
For Woolwich to top our tally of 77, based on the assumption that they win their home games vs Brighton & Palace at home they would need to get 8 points in away games against Watford, Wolves, Leicester & Burnley. This would equal our tally and bring GD into play.
For Man U to top our tally, based on the belief they will get maximum points from seemingly easier games at home vs West Ham, Huddersfield & Cardiff will need a further 7 points from their games vs Everton away, Man City at home & Chelsea at home. They would also have to make 8 on their GD to us.
We win 4, draw 1 & lose 1 and Chelsea need at minimum 1 win & 2 draws vs Liverpool away, Man U away & Leicester away. Woolwich would need either 3 wins or 2 wins, 2 draws in away games vs Watford, Wolves, Leicester & Burnley & Man U would need 2 wins & a draw vs Everton away, Man City at home & Chelsea at home.
If Woolwich win 2, draw 1 & lose one of their tough fixtures it won't be enough for them. If Chelsea only get 1 point away at Anfield & Old Trafford it won't be enough & if Man U lose any of their games vs Everton away, Man City at home or Chelsea at home it won't be enough. The holy grail is win all at home & vs Bournemouth away and it'll be too far out of reach for 2 of the 3. 4 wins and a draw should be enough but its dicing with others & a real long shot of unfortunate results going against us in 10 games involving games vs our rivals where they could go either way.
Basically if we amass 77 points, we need at least 3 of their 10 tricky fixtures to drop kindly for us and we'll be alright.
Man City, Liverpool & Leicester are our biggest allies for the next 6 weeks when it comes to our rivals. Let's be honest there are worse teams to be relying on.
Basically if we win 4, draw 1 & lose one, two draws for either of our rivals won't be enough so long as we don't burn our GD. Smashing Huddersfield this weekend could prove as important as just getting 3 points. Need to win and win convincingly to out some GD distance between us & if we do, any of our rivals that drop points in 2 of their last 6 games each will struggle to surpass us.
We need 4 results go in our favour, 5 ideally pretty much out of 18 games involving Woolwich, Chelsea & Man U should we win our remaining home games and draw away at Bournemouth or Man City.