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Daniel Levy: The Case for the defence

10 min read
by Sumeer Aggarwal
Our chairman's actions have got a lot of fans asking if he is the right man for the job, some calling for him to leave. Sumeer Aggarwal goes into detail why this might not be fair.

daniel_levyThis season has been funny (in a sort of sadistic way) for many reasons but one of the big changes for me has been the attitude towards Daniel Levy and ENIC. Now I am not saying both parties were on everyone’s Christmas card list but there was a certain tolerance and sometimes even respect (#Levy’d, #InLevyWeTrust). However this season has seen “Levy Out” placards at White Hart Lane (albeit only two of them); chants at games (“Levy is our manager”) and much derision on social media sites.

The most common accusations are that he is only interested in profit, he’s turned Spurs into a selling club and he interferes with the way managers operate before firing them on a whim. I don’t think he is perfect but I think some of the flak he has been getting is unfair and there maybe another side to the story.

The players

The easiest accusation to deal with is that he has turned Spurs into a selling club and all he is interested is in making profits. Thinking back to the last few years there have been a number of high profile sales; Modric, VDV, Berbatov and of course Bale. However each of these sales was very rarely Levy’s choice; Modric wanted to leave and went on a mini-strike; VDV wanted to go back to Germany to be with his wife (insert your own quip about how you would too if you were married to her).

[linequote]I think some of the flak he has been getting is unfair and there maybe another side to the story.[/linequote]Then there is Bale – did Levy only see the £ signs (or should I say € signs) when Madrid came knocking? It’s always hard to know the full story but it may go like this; Madrid contacted Bale and said they wanted him to be their marquee signing and Bale, very understandably, said he wanted to go (as much of us would). It seems Daniel agreed that Bale could leave if his valuation was met and, presumably he set the bar at £80m + in the hope that it would scare off RM. It didn’t and the rest is history.

People regularly compare the Bale sale to the Suaraz transfer saga and you often hear quotes of “Liverpool managed to keep hold of their best player and now they are challenging for the league”. Whilst factually correct this leaves out one key piece of information; no-one made an offer for Suaraz that was acceptable to Liverpool. It was widely reported at the time that Liverpool would have accepted a figure of £50m. However neither Woolwich nor Real Madrid were willing pay that much (funnily this is all made me think where would Spurs, Liverpool and Woolwich have been if RM made Suaraz their numero uno target). In a nutshell I’m not sure what you can do if a player wants to leave and your valuation of them is met – I guess you can take a risk, but that may alienate the player and there is only so long that strategy will work.

He can maybe shoulder some blame when it comes to timing of sales, which have tended to be at the 11th hour on transfer deadline day (usually in a bid to drive up the price of any sale). However you can’t claim that was an issue this year.

The managers

This is a more tricky point to deal with since who knows what goes on behind the closed doors of a football club. I couldn’t go back through all the managers under Levy’s reign (my memory isn’t so good and to be fair there have been a few) but I decided to start at Martin Jol (2004) and see if some sort of pattern emerged.

It’s worth remembering that Jol originally came as a coach to spurs as part of the holy trinity of Santini, Jol and Arnesen. Santini decided to quit after 13 games (officially due to personal reasons but potentially due to conflicts with Arnesen) and so that shoved Jol into the top job. For me this is where the story begins – Jol was and is a very good coach. He could improve the players and, backed by Levy (£75m+ net transfer spend) he achieved two top 5 finishes. However Jol for me lacked the ability to tactically outwit the big guns. In addition Arneson had been pinched by Chelsea and Comolli had come in, who is said to have had a fractious relationship with Jol. I suspect Comolli was whispering in Daniel’s ear that he knew of someone who could take Spurs to the next level. Maybe Levy, suspecting Jol’s limitations and as results worsened, decided to back his Director of Football. I think the manner of Jol’s departure was truly grating but Levy wasn’t the trigger man in his assassination

In stepped Spurs equivalent of “The Chosen One”; Juande Ramos. Juande started well and won the League Cup in his first season. However the summer saw major upheavel, when several of our top players forced through sales (Berbatov and Keane) and were replaced by less than stellar signings (presumably under the direction of Comolli). Spurs accumulated 2 points from their opening 8 games and relegation looked like a significant possibility. Here Levy had to act; relegation would be catastrophic. He decided to employ a man that went against his vision for the structure of the club but at least someone who could (almost) guarantee to avoid the drop into football oblivion.

Harry Redknapp came in and out went the Director of Football. Levy backed his manager again with significant spending in the January transfer window and Spurs stayed up. It surprises me that there is such an Anti-HR campaign – he led the Spurs to two top 4 finishes, playing good attacking football. This does not mean there were no flaws – he should have arguably finished 3rd (the season when Chelski fluked the Champions League) and he didn’t really know how to rotate his squad. However the main problem was that his recruitment policy was not line with Levy’s. There is much speculation why Harry was sacked; my opinion is that he and Levy were at odds on how the club should be run. Should Levy have backed off in this case? I guess Levy wasn’t happy to do so.

[linequote]It surprises me that there is such an Anti-HR campaign – he led the Spurs to two top 4 finishes, playing good attacking football.[/linequote]

AVB arrived and there was a transformation in Tottenham – we were more organised and retained possession more effectively. He was able to get the best out of several players, notably of course one G.Bale, which culminated in Spurs achieving their PL record points tally but still finishing 5th. However there were also problems with Spurs’ ability to breakdown defences, which were exacerbated when Bale left. I think Levy tried to back him both in the transfer market and within the club; however the main issue wasn’t that he couldn’t get rid of Adebayor. Ade is a world class striker if you can manage him correctly but Andre couldn’t. That’s not a problem in itself but – here is where Levy went wrong – Levy saw that Soldado wasn’t scoring and probably tried to get Ade reintegrated into the team to make it more attacking. This was where it all went wrong for me; suddenly AVB was 2nd guessing himself and there appeared to be more disharmonies in the team. This must have led to talks between Levy and AVB and suddenly AVB was sacked (and he was probably happy to leave). It’s clear that this wasn’t planned (since we didn’t have a replacement lined up) but the falling out must have been so significant that AVB couldn’t continue. Was Levy right to interfere? Most certainly not but it’s a fine line a Chairman walks and in my opinion he does have a right to discuss how to improve the team.

Having not planned to release Andre, he had to give the job to Sherwood – there is no doubt that this was supposed to be on an interim basis but Tim didn’t want that. There is little else for me to write about this decision that hasn’t already been written.

So all in all I don’t think Levy is the meddler he sometimes made out to be. In most cases he has supported his managers and his Directors of Football. I think maybe the reliance on the latter, especially over his managers, has been one of his failings. One of his problems maybe is that he can’t always attract the right manager and then back his managers fully due to the financial resources of the club. For me he overstepped the line with AVB and he needs to learn from that but I don’t think it is a radical shift but more of a tweak. Chairmen have the right to try and steer the club in the correct direction; that’s their job. However they shouldn’t try to drive the ship themselves.

The numbers

So now for the boring bit – I had a quick look through the financials for Spurs for the past five years. Looking at a football club’s finances are quite time consuming and I didn’t have a chance to go into a lot of detail but below is a quick summary of what I could find.

  2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total
Profit Before Football Trading 18,390 22,674 32,294 14,195 10,499 98,052
Profit after Football Trading 36,791 (1,542) 1,417 (1,605) 11,461 46,522
Retained Profit 23,164 (6,647) 669 (4,283) 1,528 14,431
Cash flow from Operations 29,944 19,852 69,090 26,617 14,224 159,727
Net Interest and tax (4,012) (2,386) (2,702) (4,477) (7,151) (20,728)
Net costs/proceeds from acquiring Property (32,048) (22,984) (32,095) (41,536) 4,830 (123,833)
Net costs/proceeds from acquiring players (21,429) (27,493) (26,278) 6,418 3,393 (65,389)
Dividends (3,712)  
Net proceeds/repayments of financing 15,596 24,674 1,350 8,030 (27,787) 21,863
Total Cash flow (15,661) (8,337) 9,365 (4,948) (12,491) (32,072)

The first thing that strikes me is that Spurs have made either a modest profit or loss in the last few years but the last time they paid a dividend was in 2009 (which is one way ENIC would extract the profit from the club). So they have been reinvesting the profits into the club (although the situation is complicated due to the debt owed to ENIC).

However looking at profits only can be a bit misleading; so looking at cash flow the two things you notice is that the Spurs have invested relatively significantly in the squad in the last 5 years and they have spent also a significant amount on the new training ground and getting ready for the new stadium (highlighted in yellow). Again they seem to be supporting the club as much as possible without doing a Chelski.

[linequote]Spurs have invested relatively significantly in the squad in the last 5 years and they have spent also a significant amount on the new training ground[/linequote]The one question I do have is what is ENIC’s long term strategy? Do they want an exit? (at a profit of course) I am not sure what their aim is since there must have been plenty of opportunities to sell up and they haven’t taken them. If this is their strategy the one thing to be bear in mind is that valuations of companies are based on revenue, profit and cash flow. The only way to improve those things at a football club is to be more successful; finish higher up the table, win things – this increases revenue (and subsequently profit and cash). So if that’s the case then is there really an issue? The more success means we as fans are happier and ENIC gets more money when they sell up. FFP also means they have to leave behind a sustainable business model. The one thing the AVB saga also suggests is that Levy cares about the traditions of the club and the way the team plays.

The biggest failing

However one thing ENIC and Levy have got wrong is the stadium. We know that’s one of the main barriers to Spurs being more competitive and we really should have a new stadium by now. I understand the financial crisis may have impacted plans and that there are various hurdles to cross in clearing land but there should have been more progress (Liverpool will apparently extend their stadium before us even though we had 5+ years headstart).

There have been other issues (Stubhub!) but I think Levy has done a great job taking Spurs to the next level and he receives an unjustifiable bad press sometimes. He isn’t perfect but I will still use #InLevyWeTrust for the time being. If Levy learns from the small mistakes he might have made, we all might be singing about Levy at games for a different reason.

All views and opinions expressed in this article are the views and opinions of the writer and do not necessarily represent the views of The Fighting Cock. We offer a platform for fans to commit their views to text and voice their thoughts. Football is a passionate game and as long as the views stay within the parameters of what is acceptable, we encourage people to write, get involved and share their thoughts on the mighty Tottenham Hotspur.

Sumeer Aggarwal

11 Comments

  1. Bobby Bennett
    30/04/2014 @ 10:59 am

    Well researched, thought-out, and interesting argument. I want to believe that you’re close to the reality because the chairman/owner is an integral part of the team. I have sometimes struggled to understand some of Levy’s decisions, but have been generally supportive.

  2. FatherJack
    30/04/2014 @ 11:11 am

    Nice article and I’m behind your thinking but I am one who likes two sides to every story. There are people out there with a genuine hate for Levy and will have a great argument why Levy and ENIC should go.

    Problem is there are too many people influenced by the internet and social media to actually have an opinion and go just go with what they think is the majority of fans opinions. They can’t handle the pressure of being laughed at by Woolwich Wanderers fans and other fans as well. Haven’t got a top 4 finish and no Champions League, I hate the club and everyone associated with it and look many people want Levy out so I’ll join that, that has to explain why we’re just missing out. BUT please someone stop the laughing and mocking.

    Like I have said before, no matter how well we do we will always be laughed at so just accept it. If you really want the glamour of what SKY hypes up then go to Chelsea or Man City and when they fail move on. elsewhere. This regime is like previous regimes, never perfect and making plenty of mistakes.

  3. Spurgatso
    30/04/2014 @ 12:48 pm

    Absolutly spot on If I could have managed to compact that down to a size for a comment,I would have written almost the same.Unfortunatly a lot of our fans,dont look beyond the football and somehow seem to think that a club can just spend money as the want.Your also dead on the money about social? media,The Sherwoods shite campaign,is a direct result of this,its written so it must be true.COYSaT

  4. SP
    30/04/2014 @ 1:11 pm

    I agree with everything, here (though could add more reasons for Mr Redknapp’s dismissal).

    But I am surprised at what has been left out: for myself, and many of my acquaintance, perhaps the most important and exciting thing that Levy/ENIC have been doing (but which is below the surface, to many, and only starting to show results) is the revamping of the youth set-up, the promise from that and the youth personnel we have, and the new training facilities.

  5. DubaiSpurs
    30/04/2014 @ 1:24 pm

    I met Daniel Levy at a bar in Dubai recently. He came across as very friendly, amicable but also a shrewd business man. He seemed to know what he’s talking about, very different to the man we read about in the media.

  6. Evan
    30/04/2014 @ 2:24 pm

    Great article Sameer. I appreciate the considered approach to looking at the Levy reign. I do have one question though, I didn’t follow you when you said the new FFP rules spell the end of a sustainable business model. Can you explain why that is? From my understanding those rules are supposed to make football teams more sustainable as businesses. Did I get that wrong?

    • Sumeer
      30/04/2014 @ 4:41 pm

      Thanks Evan

      Sorry my point was exactly what you are saying (just poorly articulated). I meant that if Levy sells he will have to ensure the football club has a sustainable business model. As you said that is the supposed aim of FPP (although with the recent coverage on PSG and Man City we will have to wait and see)

  7. Halabil
    30/04/2014 @ 5:37 pm

    Sumeer…well written article. As for your question as to what Levy/ENIC’s exit strategy is, the answer is clearly a sale. That is the way investment companies work. At the time that ENIC purchased the controlling interest in Spurs, the club was in mid-table hell with smaller fan and hence revenue base. With the steady rise in footballing results, shrewd commercial moves such as expanding Spurs viewership in US and Asia via various marketing tie-ins as well as the recent 5-year AIA deal, as well as savvy transfer dealings that have enabled the club to use proceeds from high profile sales to reinvest in better squad players, LEVY/ENIC have been steadily improving the value of their investment. The ability to break through into CL football regularly (the holy grail for most clubs given the added revenue from TV, higher profile sponsors, etcetera…) will allow ENIC to push through with plans for the larger stadium, which again, once built, will support a higher revenue base that will rival other teams in the top 4. And if that is achieved that will result in an enhanced valuation for Spurs and will likely generate more buyer interest at that point. So investment companies look to arbitrage both the multiple and the underlying financial metrics, looking to buy a company or in this case a football club that is underperforming, improve it’s performance so that it’s financial metrics (revenues, EBITDA, net profits, etc…) improve, and sell the asset at a higher valuation multiple then at time of buy-in.

    The good news is that means that Levy/ENIC have every incentive to get Sours to that next level because it maximizes the value of the asset and enhances the probability that they can monetize that enhanced value because there would be more potentially interested buyers. So achieving that financial exit ideally goes hand in hand with delivering the footballing results we all hope for and wish to see at WHL. Our interests as fans are very much aligned with ENIC’s interest as investment holding company.

    • Sumeer
      01/05/2014 @ 9:40 pm

      Thanks Halabil

      I definitely agree with your point that, if this is indeed their exit strategy, we as fans should be right behind them – especially in era of financial fair play where short term measures are (supposed to be) more restrictive and hence we should see a long term benefit to the club.

      I do think that if this their strategy that they might not build the new stadium itself since why take the risk associated with such a project and just sell up on the guaranteed rise in revenues (which happens in many such deals right). If they are truly looking for an exit than I think they would have done when they secured grants, mayor of london help, etc. I guess the hold up may be that new stadium project is not guaranteed yet with still some land to be purchased.

      My question on whether they want to exit though comes from fact they don’t always act like “investment filppers”. Whether that’s through the decisions on where to place their investment dollars (new training facility vs players) or the managers they employ.

      Anyway think we will find out in the next year or two if they want to exit. Part of me suspects there is another reason to their ownership – maybe something more boring and tax driven but I can’t put my finger on it.

      To be honest as long as they don’t destroy my club, what it stands for and brings us success then I don’t care.

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  9. Barry Kendler
    12/05/2014 @ 9:26 pm

    Interesting article but I think you have unpicked your case for Levy in your article.

    Like you I’m on the outside but my view is Levy is too financially mean to grasp what is needed to make us a Top 3 Premier League Club. That’s why we lose our best players and, apart from Redknapp, who I agree had his weaknesses, we’ve haven’t had a top coach at Spurs since the days of Venables.

    I believe, I can’t prove it, but Berbatov, Modric and Bale left because the club lack ambition. Then there is Levy’s choice of coaches. Why pick AVB. What had Levy seen of AVB’s management of Chelsea that made him think he was the right man for Spurs. Then if you do pick a COach why saddle him with a Director of Football. Baldini basically blew the Spurs money from Bale on a buying binge that gave us all false hope. Last season’s team was only just short of Top 4 why on earth did Baldini believe we needed 7 players.

    Allardyce who knows more about Football than me said you can’t absorb that number of players and he was right. Only Eriksen has shown real flair although I believe Paulinho, Lamela and Soldado will come good given time and if they stay.

    Mark Lawrenson said Spurs are a mess and he is right. There is only one man responsible, Levy. Doesn’t back his manager to buy the right players and allows the best players to go.

    I don’t think I’ll live to see Spurs lift the title again unless we find the right sort of Billionaire who will enable us to buy and match Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea.

    Levy is not that man.

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